Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018126 0.022931 0.029365 0.038943 0.053469 0.075895 0.116055
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.012596 0.017537 0.025205 0.038979 0.065893 0.124735 0.305092
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010124 0.014970 0.023251 0.040258 0.080938 0.204547 0.962944
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008485 0.013081 0.021491 0.040608 0.094690 0.321266 4.247483
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.007113 0.011257 0.019178 0.038446 0.099936 0.436315 29.472621
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006204 0.010049 0.017695 0.037506 0.108736 0.636868 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005755 0.009595 0.017624 0.040225 0.136375 1.341624 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005491 0.009437 0.018142 0.045036 0.185770 4.567570 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005248 0.009270 0.018591 0.050078 0.255631 37.882858 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004845 0.008691 0.017857 0.050512 0.296617 1057.449980 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004506 0.008198 0.017230 0.051074 0.346531 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004146 0.007610 0.016221 0.049532 0.370458 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003748 0.006933 0.014970 0.047003 0.386949 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003460 0.006478 0.014271 0.046813 0.452579 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003256 0.006187 0.013971 0.048451 0.586362 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003050 0.005862 0.013492 0.048903 0.720664 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002805 0.005411 0.012534 0.046113 0.729681 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002619 0.005084 0.011901 0.044905 0.805871 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002536 0.004999 0.012019 0.048408 1.249142 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002494 0.005011 0.012460 0.054667 2.542853 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002448 0.005005 0.012845 0.061304 6.218248 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002334 0.004807 0.012501 0.061879 9.739008 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002232 0.004629 0.012197 0.062624 16.923655 NaN NaN